Bad Moon Rising
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (8 on the archive and 25 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 19
Defender wins (German): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 980 | 1130 | 30% | 2021-09-23 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1041 | 50% | 2021-03-28 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1024 | 47% | 2019-12-20 | Lost |
| 1253 | 1088 | 72% | 2017-09-07 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1107 | 45% | 2014-09-30 | Won |
| 1012 | 1096 | 38% | 2012-05-25 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1120 | 47% | 2012-02-09 | Won |
| 1243 | 1068 | 73% | 2010-11-25 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1087 vs 1084.3 has a 50.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).