Bad Moon Rising
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (8 on the archive and 25 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 19
Defender wins (German): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1038 | 1131 | 37% | 2021-09-23 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1003 | 50% | 2021-03-28 | Lost |
| 1000 | 968 | 55% | 2019-12-20 | Lost |
| 1231 | 1089 | 69% | 2017-09-07 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1107 | 45% | 2014-09-30 | Won |
| 1065 | 1092 | 46% | 2012-05-25 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1121 | 48% | 2012-02-09 | Won |
| 1230 | 1070 | 72% | 2010-11-25 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1093.3 vs 1072.6 has a 52.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).