Dutch Courage
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (German): 5
Defender wins (Dutch): 10
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Dutch): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1252 | 19% | 2026-01-30 | | Lost |
| 962 | 1134 | 27% | 2025-03-26 | | Lost |
| 1258 | 1170 | 62% | 2024-06-03 | | Lost |
| 989 | 1127 | 31% | 2024-05-15 | | Won |
| 1001 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-05-12 | D | Won |
| 989 | 1258 | 18% | 2024-05-01 | | Lost |
| 967 | 1015 | 43% | 2023-03-16 | | Lost |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2020-11-10 | | Lost |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2020-08-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1147 | 30% | 2019-05-12 | | Lost |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2016-05-29 | | Won |
| 1159 | 1000 | 71% | 2014-06-06 | | Lost |
| 1087 | 1074 | 52% | 2011-01-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2010-12-27 | | Won |
| 1031 | 1209 | 26% | 2010-11-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1090 | 37% | 2010-10-06 | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1041.6 vs 1105.9 has a 40.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).