Totensonntag
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 177 (62 on the archive and 115 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 100
Defender wins (German): 77
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1177 | 1150 | 54% | 2026-07-05 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1065 | 58% | 2025-07-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2024-10-05 | | Lost |
| 1058 | 974 | 62% | 2023-03-07 | | Won |
| 1019 | 1000 | 53% | 2023-03-03 | | Won |
| 1029 | 1145 | 34% | 2022-10-16 | | Lost |
| 909 | 1077 | 28% | 2022-03-13 | | Lost |
| 965 | 949 | 52% | 2022-02-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 932 | 60% | 2021-05-20 | | Lost |
| 872 | 1102 | 21% | 2020-12-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 880 | 67% | 2020-11-15 | | Won |
| 1143 | 1230 | 38% | 2020-07-25 | | Lost |
| 1002 | 989 | 52% | 2020-05-01 | | Won |
| 977 | 993 | 48% | 2020-04-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1009 | 49% | 2020-04-04 | | Lost |
| 986 | 1134 | 30% | 2020-03-12 | | Lost |
| 1007 | 999 | 51% | 2020-01-24 | | Won |
| 1061 | 1000 | 59% | 2019-11-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1011 | 48% | 2019-10-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2019-07-10 | | Won |
| 1008 | 1051 | 44% | 2018-01-20 | | Won |
| 1242 | 1087 | 71% | 2017-12-01 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2017-07-28 | | Won |
| 1058 | 996 | 59% | 2017-06-25 | | Won |
| 939 | 1298 | 11% | 2016-11-14 | | Lost |
| 1177 | 981 | 76% | 2016-11-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 981 | 53% | 2016-10-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1150 | 30% | 2016-06-25 | | Lost |
| 1045 | 1141 | 37% | 2015-11-15 | | Won |
| 962 | 1000 | 45% | 2015-11-02 | | Lost |
| 964 | 995 | 46% | 2015-07-17 | | Lost |
| 995 | 1136 | 31% | 2015-07-09 | | Won |
| 1019 | 1120 | 36% | 2015-07-05 | | Won |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2015-07-05 | | Won |
| 1076 | 979 | 64% | 2015-05-23 | | Won |
| 983 | 1056 | 40% | 2014-04-23 | | Won |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2014-04-23 | | Won |
| 1012 | 1219 | 23% | 2014-03-21 | | Lost |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2014-02-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2014-01-14 | | Won |
| 891 | 1049 | 29% | 2013-11-16 | | Won |
| 1011 | 1000 | 52% | 2013-10-11 | | Lost |
| 1010 | 1071 | 41% | 2013-04-06 | | Lost |
| 1099 | 1000 | 64% | 2012-11-25 | | Won |
| 1058 | 1000 | 58% | 2012-11-25 | | Won |
| 881 | 1130 | 19% | 2012-04-30 | | Lost |
| 780 | 1141 | 11% | 2012-01-25 | | Lost |
| 1019 | 1000 | 53% | 2011-10-30 | | Lost |
| 960 | 1000 | 44% | 2011-10-30 | | Won |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2011-10-28 | | Won |
| 1343 | 1059 | 84% | 2011-10-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1133 | 32% | 2011-10-07 | | Won |
| 1253 | 1019 | 79% | 2011-09-08 | | Won |
| 1154 | 1037 | 66% | 2011-07-31 | | Won |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2011-06-25 | | Won |
| 1015 | 1163 | 30% | 2011-03-10 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 1000 | 68% | 2011-01-14 | | Lost |
| 960 | 1039 | 39% | 2010-11-01 | | Won |
| 1062 | 1000 | 59% | 2010-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2010-10-03 | | Lost |
| 1150 | 1040 | 65% | 2010-07-25 | | Won |
Attacking (34 wins) average ELOs: 1031 vs 1051.2 has a 47.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).