Bottcher's Corner
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (8 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 17
Defender wins (Japanese): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 991 | 964 | 54% | 2025-06-06 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1126 | 57% | 2025-05-18 | Won |
| 1052 | 1027 | 54% | 2019-11-09 | Won |
| 950 | 786 | 72% | 2012-06-24 | Won |
| 1283 | 1118 | 72% | 2010-12-31 | Won |
| 1027 | 969 | 58% | 2010-10-08 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1062 | 53% | 2010-10-06 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1147 | 49% | 2010-10-02 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1087.1 vs 1024.9 has a 58.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).