Bottcher's Corner
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (American): 6
Defender wins (Japanese): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1011 | 928 | 62% | 2026-03-20 | | Won |
| 984 | 1000 | 48% | 2025-06-06 | | Lost |
| 1185 | 1000 | 74% | 2025-05-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1059 | 42% | 2019-11-09 | | Won |
| 960 | 808 | 71% | 2012-06-24 | | Won |
| 1242 | 1150 | 63% | 2010-12-31 | | Won |
| 1059 | 968 | 63% | 2010-10-08 | | Lost |
| 1058 | 1073 | 48% | 2010-10-06 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1141 | 50% | 2010-10-02 | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1071.1 vs 1014.1 has a 58.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).