Block to Bataan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 68 (19 on the archive and 49 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 36
Defender wins (Filipino / American): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1097 | 967 | 68% | 2026-01-19 | Lost |
| 999 | 999 | 50% | 2025-10-27 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1161 | 48% | 2024-08-05 | Lost |
| 969 | 1121 | 29% | 2024-03-23 | Won |
| 1263 | 1318 | 42% | 2024-01-13 | Won |
| 1003 | 1077 | 40% | 2017-11-05 | Won |
| 1141 | 753 | 90% | 2017-02-08 | Won |
| 1141 | 753 | 90% | 2017-01-26 | Won |
| 908 | 1016 | 35% | 2016-03-05 | Tied |
| 986 | 1035 | 43% | 2016-01-24 | Won |
| 1060 | 1038 | 53% | 2016-01-24 | Lost |
| 1208 | 946 | 82% | 2013-04-27 | Lost |
| 1430 | 1189 | 80% | 2011-02-27 | Won |
| 1062 | 930 | 68% | 2011-02-27 | Won |
| 1158 | 1186 | 46% | 2011-02-12 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1234 | 26% | 2011-01-28 | Lost |
| 974 | 987 | 48% | 2010-12-03 | Won |
| 1080 | 1170 | 37% | 2010-10-05 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1002 | 58% | 2010-10-04 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1091.2 vs 1046.4 has a 56.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).