Vogt's Ritterkreuz
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 66 (17 on the archive and 49 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 33
Defender wins (Dutch): 32
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 1
Defender wins (Dutch): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1012 | 1031 | 47% | 2025-01-14 | Won |
| 1213 | 1136 | 61% | 2024-06-30 | Won |
| 888 | 1167 | 17% | 2023-03-22 | Won |
| 1117 | 945 | 73% | 2021-02-04 | Won |
| 948 | 1217 | 18% | 2019-11-21 | Lost |
| 1078 | 861 | 78% | 2018-04-09 | Won |
| 983 | 1010 | 46% | 2017-04-29 | Lost |
| 1010 | 983 | 54% | 2017-02-01 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-05-15 | Lost |
| 944 | 1068 | 33% | 2015-05-18 | Lost |
| 1068 | 944 | 67% | 2015-05-04 | Won |
| 1031 | 1031 | 50% | 2014-04-09 | Lost |
| 1117 | 945 | 73% | 2013-06-20 | Won |
| 1117 | 945 | 73% | 2013-04-23 | Won |
| 928 | 1078 | 30% | 2010-10-26 | Won |
| 1151 | 1006 | 70% | 2010-10-02 | Won |
| 1213 | 945 | 82% | 2010-09-08 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1053.3 vs 1023.5 has a 54.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).