A Midnight Clear
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (9 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 14
Defender wins (American): 13
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1159 | 990 | 73% | 2026-06-23 | | Won |
| 1179 | 1176 | 50% | 2026-06-10 | D | Won |
| 1242 | 1024 | 78% | 2025-03-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2021-12-20 | | Won |
| 1098 | 941 | 71% | 2021-03-07 | | Lost |
| 1097 | 886 | 77% | 2019-04-11 | | Tied |
| 1108 | 1000 | 65% | 2017-08-04 | | Tied |
| 1000 | 1126 | 33% | 2012-04-05 | | Lost |
| 1317 | 1080 | 80% | 2011-01-02 | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1133.3 vs 1035.7 has a 63.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).