Desobry Defiant
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 83 (15 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 34
Defender wins (American): 49
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 929 | 1129 | 24% | 2020-12-06 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1214 | 29% | 2019-12-27 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1067 | 59% | 2018-12-12 | Lost |
| 971 | 1242 | 17% | 2017-11-05 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1310 | 20% | 2016-09-03 | Lost |
| 897 | 958 | 41% | 2016-04-18 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1074 | 56% | 2016-03-25 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2015-12-23 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1110 | 50% | 2012-10-31 | Won |
| 1036 | 1014 | 53% | 2010-12-03 | Won |
| 1074 | 1074 | 50% | 2010-10-14 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1016 | 62% | 2010-07-11 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1045 | 58% | 2010-07-11 | Lost |
| 978 | 1141 | 28% | 2010-06-15 | Lost |
| 1040 | 967 | 60% | 2010-06-08 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1046.7 vs 1096.6 has a 42.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).