Desobry Defiant
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 89 (17 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 35
Defender wins (American): 54
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 915 | 1113 | 24% | 2020-12-06 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1217 | 29% | 2019-12-27 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1071 | 62% | 2018-12-12 | Lost |
| 994 | 1216 | 22% | 2017-11-05 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1231 | 28% | 2016-09-03 | Lost |
| 898 | 959 | 41% | 2016-04-18 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1182 | 42% | 2016-03-25 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2015-12-23 | Lost |
| 955 | 1151 | 24% | 2012-10-31 | Won |
| 1140 | 890 | 81% | 2011-11-12 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1197 | 42% | 2011-08-20 | Won |
| 1033 | 956 | 61% | 2010-12-03 | Won |
| 952 | 1107 | 29% | 2010-10-14 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1018 | 64% | 2010-07-11 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2010-07-11 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1223 | 29% | 2010-06-15 | Lost |
| 1028 | 970 | 58% | 2010-06-08 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1050.8 vs 1096.8 has a 43.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).