The Triangle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (12 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 19
Defender wins (Japanese): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 896 | 1037 | 31% | 2026-05-22 | | Lost |
| 1088 | 951 | 69% | 2025-10-23 | | Lost |
| 1018 | 1020 | 50% | 2025-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1127 | 1035 | 63% | 2022-01-23 | | Won |
| 1159 | 1035 | 67% | 2022-01-23 | | Won |
| 949 | 1000 | 43% | 2021-11-13 | | Won |
| 1090 | 1014 | 61% | 2019-04-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2018-04-16 | | Won |
| 996 | 999 | 50% | 2018-03-02 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2017-05-31 | | Lost |
| 1041 | 1242 | 24% | 2012-07-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1044 | 44% | 2010-09-12 | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1035 vs 1049.6 has a 47.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).