The Triangle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (12 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 19
Defender wins (Japanese): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 906 | 1003 | 36% | 2026-05-22 | Lost |
| 1097 | 954 | 69% | 2025-10-23 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1020 | 52% | 2025-10-07 | Lost |
| 1172 | 984 | 75% | 2022-01-23 | Won |
| 1113 | 984 | 68% | 2022-01-23 | Won |
| 948 | 1025 | 39% | 2021-11-13 | Won |
| 1040 | 997 | 56% | 2019-04-13 | Won |
| 1025 | 1131 | 35% | 2018-04-16 | Won |
| 992 | 1027 | 45% | 2018-03-02 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2017-05-31 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1263 | 22% | 2012-07-19 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1042 | 48% | 2010-09-12 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1037.4 vs 1045.8 has a 48.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).