Brigade Hill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 149 (34 on the archive and 115 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 71
Defender wins (Japanese): 78
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 979 | 1074 | 37% | 2025-10-22 | | Lost |
| 1020 | 1018 | 50% | 2025-07-28 | | Lost |
| 959 | 1008 | 43% | 2023-05-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1205 | 24% | 2023-04-15 | | Lost |
| 1069 | 1185 | 34% | 2022-12-27 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1183 | 43% | 2022-06-24 | | Won |
| 955 | 1120 | 28% | 2022-06-04 | | Lost |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2021-10-17 | | Won |
| 978 | 1027 | 43% | 2021-08-14 | | Won |
| 1068 | 1054 | 52% | 2020-11-29 | | Lost |
| 1007 | 968 | 56% | 2020-11-29 | | Won |
| 941 | 1000 | 42% | 2020-09-20 | | Won |
| 941 | 1000 | 42% | 2020-09-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2020-05-31 | | Lost |
| 961 | 1143 | 26% | 2020-04-30 | | Lost |
| 1062 | 1066 | 49% | 2019-04-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2018-07-22 | | Lost |
| 1185 | 1000 | 74% | 2018-06-30 | | Won |
| 1020 | 1014 | 51% | 2017-05-31 | | Lost |
| 1016 | 908 | 65% | 2016-04-17 | | Lost |
| 1099 | 1000 | 64% | 2014-09-03 | | Won |
| 974 | 1001 | 46% | 2014-08-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2014-03-02 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1133 | 32% | 2013-10-06 | | Lost |
| 1084 | 1064 | 53% | 2013-05-31 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1008 | 49% | 2012-05-25 | | Won |
| 1008 | 971 | 55% | 2012-05-19 | | Won |
| 1253 | 1019 | 79% | 2011-08-25 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 964 | 83% | 2011-01-23 | | Won |
| 1131 | 1040 | 63% | 2010-12-28 | | Lost |
| 1084 | 1000 | 62% | 2010-05-08 | | Lost |
| 907 | 1000 | 37% | 2010-01-01 | | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1032 vs 1043.4 has a 48.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).