Brigade Hill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 149 (34 on the archive and 115 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 71
Defender wins (Japanese): 78
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 964 | 1075 | 35% | 2025-10-22 | | Lost |
| 1020 | 1018 | 50% | 2025-07-28 | | Lost |
| 959 | 1055 | 37% | 2023-05-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2023-04-15 | | Lost |
| 1057 | 1170 | 34% | 2022-12-27 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1167 | 45% | 2022-06-24 | | Won |
| 955 | 1120 | 28% | 2022-06-04 | | Lost |
| 950 | 1000 | 43% | 2021-10-17 | | Won |
| 987 | 1027 | 44% | 2021-08-14 | | Won |
| 1068 | 1054 | 52% | 2020-11-29 | | Lost |
| 1023 | 968 | 58% | 2020-11-29 | | Won |
| 905 | 1000 | 37% | 2020-09-20 | | Won |
| 905 | 1000 | 37% | 2020-09-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2020-05-31 | | Lost |
| 975 | 1097 | 33% | 2020-04-30 | | Lost |
| 1099 | 1068 | 54% | 2019-04-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2018-07-22 | | Lost |
| 1170 | 1000 | 73% | 2018-06-30 | | Won |
| 1024 | 1014 | 51% | 2017-05-31 | | Lost |
| 1016 | 908 | 65% | 2016-04-17 | | Lost |
| 1099 | 1000 | 64% | 2014-09-03 | | Won |
| 974 | 1000 | 46% | 2014-08-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2014-03-02 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1147 | 30% | 2013-10-06 | | Lost |
| 1044 | 1098 | 42% | 2013-05-31 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1055 | 42% | 2012-05-25 | | Won |
| 1055 | 971 | 62% | 2012-05-19 | | Won |
| 1253 | 1019 | 79% | 2011-08-25 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 964 | 83% | 2011-01-23 | | Won |
| 1226 | 1031 | 75% | 2010-12-28 | | Lost |
| 1044 | 1000 | 56% | 2010-05-08 | | Lost |
| 907 | 1000 | 37% | 2010-01-01 | | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1033 vs 1048 has a 47.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).