Brigade Hill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 148 (33 on the archive and 115 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 70
Defender wins (Japanese): 78
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1012 | 1031 | 47% | 2025-10-22 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1011 | 51% | 2025-07-28 | Lost |
| 964 | 1029 | 41% | 2023-05-21 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1143 | 56% | 2023-04-15 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1150 | 38% | 2022-12-27 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1095 | 55% | 2022-06-24 | Won |
| 944 | 1122 | 26% | 2022-06-04 | Lost |
| 948 | 986 | 45% | 2021-10-17 | Won |
| 982 | 1011 | 46% | 2021-08-14 | Won |
| 1071 | 1056 | 52% | 2020-11-29 | Lost |
| 1085 | 968 | 66% | 2020-11-29 | Won |
| 962 | 975 | 48% | 2020-09-20 | Won |
| 962 | 975 | 48% | 2020-09-20 | Won |
| 986 | 1113 | 32% | 2020-05-31 | Lost |
| 930 | 1138 | 23% | 2020-04-30 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1084 | 50% | 2019-04-13 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2018-07-22 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1297 | 30% | 2018-06-30 | Won |
| 1053 | 997 | 58% | 2017-05-31 | Lost |
| 1016 | 907 | 65% | 2016-04-17 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1073 | 54% | 2014-09-03 | Won |
| 973 | 999 | 46% | 2014-08-29 | Lost |
| 986 | 1113 | 32% | 2014-03-02 | Lost |
| 977 | 1099 | 33% | 2013-10-06 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1113 | 44% | 2013-05-31 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2012-05-25 | Won |
| 1029 | 971 | 58% | 2012-05-19 | Won |
| 1244 | 1019 | 79% | 2011-08-25 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1068 | 65% | 2010-12-28 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1136 | 41% | 2010-05-08 | Lost |
| 927 | 996 | 40% | 2010-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1038.6 vs 1057.8 has a 47.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).