Last Push To Mozhaisk
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (Russian): 14
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 962 | 975 | 48% | 2023-10-14 | Won |
| 1033 | 903 | 68% | 2023-02-02 | Won |
| 948 | 986 | 45% | 2021-02-11 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1020 | 49% | 2020-08-22 | Lost |
| 869 | 846 | 53% | 2015-06-07 | Won |
| 977 | 1099 | 33% | 2015-02-08 | Lost |
| 1177 | 1100 | 61% | 2013-10-07 | Lost |
| 881 | 1068 | 25% | 2013-07-02 | Won |
| 1068 | 881 | 75% | 2013-06-17 | Won |
| 1203 | 1067 | 69% | 2012-08-18 | Won |
| 1125 | 1024 | 64% | 2011-03-12 | Lost |
| 1005 | 982 | 53% | 2011-03-11 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1228 | 37% | 2011-02-25 | Lost |
| 1099 | 855 | 80% | 2011-02-08 | Lost |
| 986 | 1095 | 35% | 2010-09-13 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1090 | 52% | 2010-08-02 | Lost |
| 980 | 1090 | 35% | 2010-08-01 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2010-06-27 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2010-06-12 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2010-06-08 | Won |
| 1036 | 1016 | 53% | 2010-05-28 | Won |
| 962 | 1083 | 33% | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1038.6 vs 1031.7 has a 50.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).