The Marketplace at Wormhoudt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (19 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 33
Defender wins (British): 35
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (British): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 939 | 962 | 47% | 2023-10-09 | Lost |
| 854 | 979 | 33% | 2023-04-19 | Won |
| 1128 | 1035 | 63% | 2021-09-09 | Won |
| 1010 | 993 | 52% | 2020-11-08 | Lost |
| 1084 | 976 | 65% | 2019-12-26 | Won |
| 1155 | 1190 | 45% | 2016-04-15 | Won |
| 976 | 1022 | 43% | 2015-01-04 | Lost |
| 994 | 977 | 52% | 2013-06-29 | Won |
| 1068 | 1114 | 43% | 2013-04-20 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1010 | 64% | 2012-07-15 | Won |
| 1038 | 1038 | 50% | 2012-06-17 | Won |
| 1049 | 1134 | 38% | 2011-06-24 | Lost |
| 908 | 1010 | 36% | 2011-06-21 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1037 | 48% | 2011-03-18 | Lost |
| 1303 | 1169 | 68% | 2010-08-25 | Lost |
| 1303 | 1169 | 68% | 2010-08-25 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2010-08-24 | Lost |
| 979 | 1237 | 18% | 2010-05-28 | Won |
| 1126 | 1020 | 65% | 2010-04-22 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1060.2 vs 1061.6 has a 49.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).