The Marketplace at Wormhoudt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 75 (22 on the archive and 54 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 38
Defender wins (British): 37
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (British): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 905 | 1000 | 37% | 2026-05-03 | | Won |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2023-10-09 | A | Lost |
| 692 | 990 | 15% | 2023-04-19 | | Won |
| 1134 | 1056 | 61% | 2021-09-09 | | Won |
| 1006 | 1000 | 51% | 2020-11-08 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 973 | 72% | 2019-12-26 | | Won |
| 1159 | 1000 | 71% | 2016-04-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1147 | 30% | 2015-01-04 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2014-10-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 975 | 54% | 2013-06-29 | | Won |
| 1055 | 1000 | 58% | 2013-04-20 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1010 | 65% | 2012-07-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2012-06-17 | | Won |
| 1141 | 883 | 82% | 2012-04-28 | | Won |
| 1044 | 1000 | 56% | 2011-06-24 | | Lost |
| 966 | 1002 | 45% | 2011-06-21 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 1031 | 66% | 2011-03-18 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2010-08-25 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2010-08-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2010-08-24 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1209 | 26% | 2010-05-28 | | Won |
| 940 | 1167 | 21% | 2010-04-22 | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1046.3 vs 1028.4 has a 52.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).