Grebbe End
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 86 (27 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 41
Defender wins (Dutch): 44
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Dutch): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1024 | 1236 | 23% | 2025-09-21 | Won |
| 1052 | 991 | 59% | 2025-06-15 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1003 | 52% | 2025-05-21 | Won |
| 1065 | 1151 | 38% | 2025-03-20 | Won |
| 939 | 939 | 50% | 2025-03-01 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1081 | 41% | 2023-07-21 | Lost |
| 970 | 1014 | 44% | 2023-05-19 | Lost |
| 1130 | 930 | 76% | 2022-11-16 | Won |
| 908 | 1204 | 15% | 2022-01-19 | Lost |
| 1045 | 987 | 58% | 2021-06-12 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1014 | 56% | 2019-05-21 | Won |
| 939 | 1138 | 24% | 2019-05-11 | Won |
| 1103 | 878 | 79% | 2018-01-12 | Won |
| 910 | 1010 | 36% | 2017-12-15 | Lost |
| 964 | 1026 | 41% | 2017-09-23 | Won |
| 979 | 1283 | 15% | 2017-04-16 | Won |
| 972 | 1107 | 31% | 2016-03-01 | Lost |
| 891 | 1006 | 34% | 2015-10-09 | Lost |
| 993 | 1253 | 18% | 2015-02-11 | Lost |
| 945 | 962 | 48% | 2015-01-18 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1157 | 41% | 2014-11-21 | Lost |
| 1188 | 1096 | 63% | 2014-11-16 | Won |
| 1153 | 1140 | 52% | 2014-11-13 | Lost |
| 915 | 981 | 41% | 2014-04-19 | Won |
| 1012 | 1039 | 46% | 2014-02-05 | Lost |
| 975 | 1033 | 42% | 2012-07-15 | Won |
| 912 | 1117 | 24% | 2010-07-19 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1006.6 vs 1065.8 has a 41.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).