Grebbe End
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 86 (27 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 42
Defender wins (Dutch): 44
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Dutch): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1153 | 29% | 2025-09-21 | | Won |
| 1072 | 968 | 65% | 2025-06-15 | D | Lost |
| 1077 | 1000 | 61% | 2025-05-21 | | Won |
| 1046 | 1194 | 30% | 2025-03-20 | | Won |
| 938 | 1000 | 41% | 2025-03-01 | | Lost |
| 1035 | 1058 | 47% | 2023-07-21 | | Lost |
| 970 | 1019 | 43% | 2023-05-19 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 930 | 68% | 2022-11-16 | | Won |
| 908 | 1150 | 20% | 2022-01-19 | | Lost |
| 1062 | 988 | 60% | 2021-06-12 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1000 | 68% | 2019-05-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2019-05-11 | | Won |
| 1103 | 921 | 74% | 2018-01-12 | | Won |
| 892 | 1010 | 34% | 2017-12-15 | | Lost |
| 964 | 981 | 48% | 2017-09-23 | | Won |
| 980 | 1242 | 18% | 2017-04-16 | | Won |
| 972 | 1108 | 31% | 2016-03-01 | | Lost |
| 891 | 1049 | 29% | 2015-10-09 | | Lost |
| 994 | 1219 | 21% | 2015-02-11 | | Lost |
| 1131 | 1000 | 68% | 2015-01-18 | | Lost |
| 1136 | 1171 | 45% | 2014-11-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1136 | 31% | 2014-11-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2014-11-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2014-04-19 | | Won |
| 1013 | 1039 | 46% | 2014-02-05 | | Lost |
| 994 | 1000 | 49% | 2012-07-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1133 | 32% | 2010-07-19 | | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1013.9 vs 1064.1 has a 42.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).