Grebbe End
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 86 (27 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 41
Defender wins (Dutch): 44
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Dutch): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1024 | 1172 | 30% | 2025-09-21 | Won |
| 1077 | 967 | 65% | 2025-06-15 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1002 | 55% | 2025-05-21 | Won |
| 1052 | 1163 | 35% | 2025-03-20 | Won |
| 939 | 939 | 50% | 2025-03-01 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1080 | 41% | 2023-07-21 | Lost |
| 970 | 982 | 48% | 2023-05-19 | Lost |
| 1131 | 930 | 76% | 2022-11-16 | Won |
| 908 | 1170 | 18% | 2022-01-19 | Lost |
| 1040 | 987 | 58% | 2021-06-12 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1014 | 57% | 2019-05-21 | Won |
| 939 | 1138 | 24% | 2019-05-11 | Won |
| 1102 | 884 | 78% | 2018-01-12 | Won |
| 910 | 1010 | 36% | 2017-12-15 | Lost |
| 964 | 988 | 47% | 2017-09-23 | Won |
| 979 | 1263 | 16% | 2017-04-16 | Won |
| 972 | 1108 | 31% | 2016-03-01 | Lost |
| 890 | 1007 | 34% | 2015-10-09 | Lost |
| 994 | 1234 | 20% | 2015-02-11 | Lost |
| 952 | 964 | 48% | 2015-01-18 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1159 | 45% | 2014-11-21 | Lost |
| 1188 | 1121 | 60% | 2014-11-16 | Won |
| 1155 | 1141 | 52% | 2014-11-13 | Lost |
| 915 | 982 | 40% | 2014-04-19 | Won |
| 1013 | 1039 | 46% | 2014-02-05 | Lost |
| 975 | 1033 | 42% | 2012-07-15 | Won |
| 917 | 1135 | 22% | 2010-07-19 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1009.1 vs 1059.7 has a 42.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).