Grebbe End
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 86 (27 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 41
Defender wins (Dutch): 44
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Dutch): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 950 | 1175 | 21% | 2025-09-21 | Won |
| 1017 | 1025 | 49% | 2025-06-15 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1002 | 55% | 2025-05-21 | Won |
| 1021 | 1188 | 28% | 2025-03-20 | Won |
| 939 | 939 | 50% | 2025-03-01 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1080 | 44% | 2023-07-21 | Lost |
| 970 | 1022 | 43% | 2023-05-19 | Lost |
| 1143 | 930 | 77% | 2022-11-16 | Won |
| 907 | 1076 | 27% | 2022-01-19 | Lost |
| 1083 | 987 | 63% | 2021-06-12 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1014 | 59% | 2019-05-21 | Won |
| 939 | 1138 | 24% | 2019-05-11 | Won |
| 1102 | 986 | 66% | 2018-01-12 | Won |
| 876 | 1010 | 32% | 2017-12-15 | Lost |
| 964 | 951 | 52% | 2017-09-23 | Won |
| 980 | 1263 | 16% | 2017-04-16 | Won |
| 972 | 1107 | 31% | 2016-03-01 | Lost |
| 890 | 1081 | 25% | 2015-10-09 | Lost |
| 994 | 1219 | 21% | 2015-02-11 | Lost |
| 1126 | 964 | 72% | 2015-01-18 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1136 | 49% | 2014-11-21 | Lost |
| 1187 | 1126 | 59% | 2014-11-16 | Won |
| 1126 | 1140 | 48% | 2014-11-13 | Lost |
| 915 | 982 | 40% | 2014-04-19 | Won |
| 1013 | 1039 | 46% | 2014-02-05 | Lost |
| 975 | 1033 | 42% | 2012-07-15 | Won |
| 917 | 1146 | 21% | 2010-07-19 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1010.5 vs 1065.1 has a 42.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).