The Weigh In
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (8 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 14
Defender wins (Polish): 13
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1100 | 1126 | 46% | 2023-06-05 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1031 | 46% | 2023-01-10 | Won |
| 874 | 1116 | 20% | 2021-12-16 | Lost |
| 998 | 1250 | 19% | 2021-07-24 | Lost |
| 967 | 1084 | 34% | 2018-02-28 | Lost |
| 1090 | 968 | 67% | 2016-10-06 | Lost |
| 982 | 977 | 51% | 2014-11-16 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1006 | 57% | 2013-06-06 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1008.6 vs 1069.8 has a 41.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).