The Weigh In
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (10 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (Polish): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1073 | 1113 | 44% | 2023-06-05 | Lost |
| 954 | 1097 | 31% | 2023-01-10 | Won |
| 1005 | 1083 | 39% | 2021-12-16 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1225 | 25% | 2021-07-24 | Lost |
| 925 | 968 | 44% | 2018-02-28 | Lost |
| 1102 | 934 | 72% | 2016-10-06 | Lost |
| 1129 | 982 | 70% | 2014-11-16 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1006 | 58% | 2013-06-06 | Won |
| 962 | 974 | 48% | 2012-07-08 | Lost |
| 1190 | 1080 | 65% | 2011-02-27 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1043.8 vs 1046.2 has a 49.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).