Piercing the Peel
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 74 (8 on the archive and 66 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (Dutch): 53
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2021-03-04 | | Won |
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2021-03-01 | | Lost |
| 1289 | 1116 | 73% | 2020-06-23 | | Won |
| 919 | 921 | 50% | 2018-07-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1133 | 32% | 2013-03-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 994 | 51% | 2012-12-22 | | Won |
| 891 | 951 | 41% | 2012-11-25 | | Lost |
| 1038 | 1000 | 55% | 2012-09-22 | | Tied |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1011.4 vs 1014.4 has a 49.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).