Kwajalein Crush
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24
Attacker wins (American): 16
Defender wins (Japanese): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1088 | 1030 | 58% | 2024-10-17 | Won |
| 1083 | 1005 | 61% | 2024-03-06 | Won |
| 987 | 1123 | 31% | 2024-02-04 | Lost |
| 1145 | 1161 | 48% | 2024-02-02 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1159 | 41% | 2023-05-31 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1035 | 50% | 2021-05-22 | Won |
| 1128 | 884 | 80% | 2021-05-07 | Won |
| 1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2021-02-16 | Won |
| 1015 | 888 | 68% | 2020-09-26 | Won |
| 1015 | 888 | 68% | 2020-09-26 | Won |
| 1188 | 1260 | 40% | 2020-07-17 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2020-05-03 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1251 | 25% | 2018-12-27 | Lost |
| 969 | 1182 | 23% | 2018-04-08 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1337 | 40% | 2017-07-29 | Won |
| 1263 | 953 | 86% | 2016-12-03 | Won |
| 1153 | 969 | 74% | 2015-10-03 | Won |
| 1114 | 1125 | 48% | 2015-05-05 | Lost |
| 1060 | 997 | 59% | 2013-01-07 | Lost |
| 930 | 1098 | 28% | 2012-09-21 | Won |
| 1098 | 1159 | 41% | 2012-09-18 | Won |
| 1140 | 753 | 90% | 2012-08-15 | Won |
| 1060 | 1071 | 48% | 2012-07-07 | Won |
| 1342 | 1108 | 79% | 2010-02-06 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1097.5 vs 1064 has a 54.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).