Mai Phu
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 88 (21 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 51
Defender wins (French): 37
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 966 | 935 | 54% | 2024-06-04 | | Lost |
| 965 | 1133 | 28% | 2022-08-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1037 | 45% | 2022-06-10 | | Lost |
| 1315 | 994 | 86% | 2021-03-16 | | Won |
| 987 | 1024 | 45% | 2020-12-05 | | Lost |
| 1022 | 1159 | 31% | 2020-12-05 | | Won |
| 1030 | 1216 | 26% | 2020-12-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1056 | 42% | 2020-11-21 | | Lost |
| 1085 | 1087 | 50% | 2017-05-13 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 2016-08-29 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 1005 | 57% | 2016-03-11 | | Lost |
| 891 | 1145 | 19% | 2016-02-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2015-05-31 | | Won |
| 1214 | 1000 | 77% | 2013-03-11 | | Won |
| 1151 | 907 | 80% | 2013-02-14 | | Won |
| 1090 | 695 | 91% | 2012-04-21 | | Won |
| 1090 | 695 | 91% | 2012-04-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2012-03-17 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1011 | 65% | 2012-01-15 | | Won |
| 1214 | 1031 | 74% | 2011-07-11 | | Won |
| 1156 | 1317 | 28% | 2011-04-23 | | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1075.9 vs 1032.7 has a 56.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).