Melee Near the Coast
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 192 (45 on the archive and 147 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 97
Defender wins (Chinese): 94
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 1
Defender wins (Chinese): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1082 | 1066 | 52% | 2025-09-16 | Won |
| 998 | 998 | 50% | 2025-01-27 | Won |
| 953 | 1003 | 43% | 2024-08-24 | Won |
| 1005 | 1083 | 39% | 2024-04-22 | Lost |
| 968 | 924 | 56% | 2024-01-30 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1023 | 51% | 2023-12-29 | Won |
| 1048 | 1018 | 54% | 2023-07-02 | Won |
| 924 | 889 | 55% | 2022-11-11 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1105 | 51% | 2022-10-04 | Won |
| 986 | 1123 | 31% | 2022-06-08 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1021 | 57% | 2022-05-08 | Won |
| 1077 | 984 | 63% | 2022-02-18 | Won |
| 1009 | 955 | 58% | 2021-02-09 | Won |
| 947 | 957 | 49% | 2020-09-07 | Won |
| 1143 | 985 | 71% | 2019-10-13 | Lost |
| 1126 | 953 | 73% | 2017-08-21 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1052 | 44% | 2017-07-28 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1002 | 73% | 2017-07-28 | Won |
| 1225 | 1013 | 77% | 2017-05-29 | Lost |
| 1052 | 694 | 89% | 2016-09-24 | Won |
| 1013 | 1143 | 32% | 2016-07-23 | Won |
| 1013 | 1143 | 32% | 2016-03-11 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1127 | 35% | 2015-01-24 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1060 | 60% | 2015-01-24 | Won |
| 943 | 1035 | 37% | 2015-01-23 | Won |
| 1231 | 1056 | 73% | 2014-12-10 | Lost |
| 953 | 1080 | 32% | 2014-12-04 | Lost |
| 945 | 1041 | 37% | 2014-07-25 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1092 | 55% | 2013-06-08 | Won |
| 1121 | 1097 | 53% | 2013-05-24 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1007 | 59% | 2013-03-26 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1263 | 33% | 2012-10-21 | Lost |
| 1080 | 964 | 66% | 2012-07-07 | Won |
| 1060 | 973 | 62% | 2012-03-05 | Won |
| 1000 | 1107 | 35% | 2012-02-23 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1140 | 44% | 2011-09-22 | Lost |
| 1013 | 988 | 54% | 2011-09-03 | Won |
| 1117 | 1121 | 49% | 2011-08-31 | Lost |
| 1230 | 1070 | 72% | 2011-07-11 | Won |
| 753 | 1140 | 10% | 2011-01-25 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1039 | 58% | 2011-01-22 | Lost |
| 945 | 947 | 50% | 2010-12-04 | Lost |
| 945 | 935 | 51% | 2010-09-18 | Won |
| 1064 | 1035 | 54% | 2010-06-01 | Won |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1046.5 vs 1033 has a 51.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).