Melee Near the Coast
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 192 (45 on the archive and 147 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 97
Defender wins (Chinese): 94
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 1
Defender wins (Chinese): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1117 | 1117 | 50% | 2025-09-16 | Won |
| 999 | 976 | 53% | 2025-01-27 | Won |
| 1000 | 1018 | 47% | 2024-08-24 | Won |
| 992 | 1090 | 36% | 2024-04-22 | Lost |
| 935 | 965 | 46% | 2024-01-30 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1023 | 51% | 2023-12-29 | Won |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2023-07-02 | Won |
| 965 | 888 | 61% | 2022-11-11 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1105 | 44% | 2022-10-04 | Won |
| 975 | 1123 | 30% | 2022-06-08 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1048 | 53% | 2022-05-08 | Won |
| 1077 | 1011 | 59% | 2022-02-18 | Won |
| 1008 | 955 | 58% | 2021-02-09 | Won |
| 951 | 957 | 49% | 2020-09-07 | Won |
| 1142 | 985 | 71% | 2019-10-13 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1000 | 57% | 2017-08-21 | Lost |
| 1156 | 1052 | 65% | 2017-07-28 | Lost |
| 1178 | 952 | 79% | 2017-07-28 | Won |
| 1182 | 1156 | 54% | 2017-05-29 | Lost |
| 1070 | 695 | 90% | 2016-09-24 | Won |
| 1191 | 1143 | 57% | 2016-07-23 | Won |
| 1191 | 1143 | 57% | 2016-03-11 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1119 | 36% | 2015-01-24 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1060 | 60% | 2015-01-24 | Won |
| 943 | 1035 | 37% | 2015-01-23 | Won |
| 1219 | 1056 | 72% | 2014-12-10 | Lost |
| 953 | 1080 | 32% | 2014-12-04 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1041 | 56% | 2014-07-25 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1092 | 55% | 2013-06-08 | Won |
| 1121 | 1094 | 54% | 2013-05-24 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1007 | 59% | 2013-03-26 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1263 | 33% | 2012-10-21 | Lost |
| 1080 | 964 | 66% | 2012-07-07 | Won |
| 1059 | 973 | 62% | 2012-03-05 | Won |
| 1000 | 1107 | 35% | 2012-02-23 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1141 | 44% | 2011-09-22 | Lost |
| 1156 | 988 | 72% | 2011-09-03 | Won |
| 1126 | 1121 | 51% | 2011-08-31 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1060 | 63% | 2011-07-11 | Won |
| 777 | 1141 | 11% | 2011-01-25 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1038 | 58% | 2011-01-22 | Lost |
| 1084 | 946 | 69% | 2010-12-04 | Lost |
| 1084 | 935 | 70% | 2010-09-18 | Won |
| 1064 | 1035 | 54% | 2010-06-01 | Won |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1067 vs 1039.3 has a 53.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).