Melee Near the Coast
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 191 (45 on the archive and 147 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 97
Defender wins (Chinese): 94
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 1
Defender wins (Chinese): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1120 | 1000 | 67% | 2025-09-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 977 | 53% | 2025-01-27 | | Won |
| 1050 | 1036 | 52% | 2024-08-24 | A | Won |
| 992 | 1097 | 35% | 2024-04-22 | | Lost |
| 935 | 954 | 47% | 2024-01-30 | | Lost |
| 1015 | 1024 | 49% | 2023-12-29 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1053 | 42% | 2023-07-02 | | Won |
| 954 | 889 | 59% | 2022-11-11 | | Lost |
| 1097 | 1000 | 64% | 2022-10-04 | | Won |
| 952 | 1133 | 26% | 2022-06-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1023 | 47% | 2022-05-08 | | Won |
| 1077 | 987 | 63% | 2022-02-18 | | Won |
| 1010 | 955 | 58% | 2021-02-09 | | Won |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2020-09-07 | | Won |
| 1143 | 985 | 71% | 2019-10-13 | | Lost |
| 994 | 1050 | 42% | 2017-08-21 | | Lost |
| 1132 | 1000 | 68% | 2017-07-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 991 | 51% | 2017-07-28 | | Won |
| 1281 | 1132 | 70% | 2017-05-29 | | Lost |
| 1099 | 695 | 91% | 2016-09-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2016-07-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2016-03-11 | | Lost |
| 1020 | 1156 | 31% | 2015-01-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2015-01-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1035 | 45% | 2015-01-23 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2014-12-10 | | Lost |
| 953 | 1080 | 32% | 2014-12-04 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 1000 | 58% | 2014-07-25 | | Lost |
| 1125 | 1000 | 67% | 2013-06-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1056 | 42% | 2013-05-24 | | Lost |
| 1071 | 1000 | 60% | 2013-03-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1242 | 20% | 2012-10-21 | | Lost |
| 1080 | 964 | 66% | 2012-07-07 | | Won |
| 1060 | 973 | 62% | 2012-03-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1108 | 35% | 2012-02-23 | | Lost |
| 1097 | 1141 | 44% | 2011-09-22 | | Lost |
| 1132 | 1000 | 68% | 2011-09-03 | | Won |
| 1136 | 1000 | 69% | 2011-08-31 | | Lost |
| 1226 | 1031 | 75% | 2011-07-11 | | Won |
| 767 | 1141 | 10% | 2011-01-25 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1000 | 58% | 2011-01-22 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 1000 | 58% | 2010-12-04 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 1000 | 58% | 2010-09-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1035 | 45% | 2010-06-01 | | Won |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1043.7 vs 1027.6 has a 52.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).