Ride of the 200th
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (Chinese): 6
Defender wins (Japanese): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1015 | 979 | 55% | 2021-07-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1315 | 14% | 2021-05-14 | | Lost |
| 1076 | 1142 | 41% | 2018-06-10 | | Won |
| 953 | 1058 | 35% | 2017-07-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1242 | 20% | 2017-05-31 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1136 | 31% | 2012-04-12 | | Won |
| 1230 | 1000 | 79% | 2011-04-13 | | Won |
| 1185 | 1000 | 74% | 2010-10-29 | | Won |
| 1000 | 991 | 51% | 2010-03-07 | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1051 vs 1095.9 has a 43.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).