Sporck's Eleven
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 103 (26 on the archive and 78 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 54
Defender wins (German (SS)): 48
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German (SS)): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1024 | 47% | 2025-06-09 | | Lost |
| 1156 | 1000 | 71% | 2023-12-17 | A | Lost |
| 991 | 1056 | 41% | 2023-10-30 | | Lost |
| 1159 | 959 | 76% | 2023-09-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1019 | 47% | 2023-07-29 | | Won |
| 1097 | 1000 | 64% | 2023-02-23 | | Won |
| 1170 | 1252 | 38% | 2022-02-19 | | Tied |
| 974 | 1132 | 29% | 2021-01-23 | | Lost |
| 1178 | 1132 | 57% | 2021-01-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2020-06-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2018-01-07 | | Lost |
| 983 | 1060 | 39% | 2016-08-30 | | Lost |
| 1049 | 1147 | 36% | 2015-07-26 | | Won |
| 938 | 966 | 46% | 2015-06-01 | | Won |
| 1071 | 1155 | 38% | 2014-12-19 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1000 | 58% | 2013-10-13 | | Won |
| 1226 | 1045 | 74% | 2013-06-28 | | Won |
| 977 | 1126 | 30% | 2012-01-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1167 | 28% | 2011-03-13 | | Won |
| 1019 | 996 | 53% | 2011-03-12 | | Won |
| 1031 | 1064 | 45% | 2010-02-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2010-01-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1242 | 20% | 2009-10-05 | | Won |
| 1214 | 1169 | 56% | 2009-08-24 | | Lost |
| 767 | 1141 | 10% | 2009-08-11 | | Lost |
| 1214 | 1031 | 74% | 2009-06-24 | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1048.8 vs 1088 has a 44.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).