Forest Devil
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 84 (20 on the archive and 64 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Bulgarian): 56
Defender wins (German): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1078 | 945 | 68% | 2025-07-11 | Won |
| 1020 | 1014 | 51% | 2023-07-07 | Won |
| 1057 | 1041 | 52% | 2020-06-29 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1007 | 66% | 2018-11-03 | Won |
| 1019 | 1057 | 45% | 2011-03-10 | Won |
| 1105 | 980 | 67% | 2011-01-13 | Lost |
| 1140 | 953 | 75% | 2010-11-05 | Won |
| 1185 | 1096 | 63% | 2010-11-01 | Won |
| 1120 | 1027 | 63% | 2010-10-05 | Won |
| 977 | 1096 | 34% | 2010-08-02 | Won |
| 987 | 1096 | 35% | 2010-08-01 | Won |
| 1168 | 1253 | 38% | 2010-05-26 | Won |
| 1101 | 1145 | 44% | 2010-04-10 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2010-03-16 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2010-03-16 | Won |
| 1201 | 1236 | 45% | 2010-02-24 | Won |
| 910 | 1045 | 31% | 2009-10-05 | Won |
| 1140 | 1011 | 68% | 2009-10-04 | Won |
| 1068 | 1022 | 57% | 2009-08-28 | Won |
| 982 | 1236 | 19% | 2009-08-24 | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1078.5 vs 1073.1 has a 50.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).