Encircle This!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 100 (20 on the archive and 80 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 42
Defender wins (Russian): 58
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 986 | 1134 | 30% | 2025-03-13 | | Lost |
| 1074 | 1101 | 46% | 2020-01-21 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2019-09-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2019-09-08 | | Lost |
| 1014 | 1000 | 52% | 2017-10-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1011 | 48% | 2017-03-05 | | Lost |
| 1289 | 1131 | 71% | 2016-10-02 | | Lost |
| 1035 | 1064 | 46% | 2015-11-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1039 | 44% | 2014-07-25 | | Won |
| 1019 | 1120 | 36% | 2011-06-21 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2011-06-21 | | Lost |
| 1058 | 1000 | 58% | 2010-04-21 | | Won |
| 1343 | 1000 | 88% | 2010-04-09 | | Lost |
| 1019 | 1183 | 28% | 2010-03-13 | | Lost |
| 1001 | 1230 | 21% | 2010-03-12 | | Won |
| 1019 | 851 | 72% | 2010-03-07 | | Won |
| 1022 | 1153 | 32% | 2009-11-28 | | Won |
| 922 | 1000 | 39% | 2009-11-26 | | Lost |
| 1275 | 1242 | 55% | 2009-10-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2009-10-09 | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1059.8 vs 1082.4 has a 46.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).