Smiling Albert
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 65 (19 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 33
Defender wins (American): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 945 | 1078 | 32% | 2025-06-27 | Won |
| 1066 | 1082 | 48% | 2025-05-17 | Won |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2025-04-15 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1123 | 36% | 2024-01-11 | Lost |
| 932 | 1086 | 29% | 2023-02-04 | Lost |
| 1423 | 1157 | 82% | 2016-09-07 | Won |
| 1070 | 1036 | 55% | 2014-10-13 | Won |
| 1024 | 972 | 57% | 2012-03-23 | Won |
| 1253 | 1212 | 56% | 2012-02-08 | Won |
| 952 | 1096 | 30% | 2011-10-21 | Lost |
| 733 | 1140 | 9% | 2011-08-08 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1019 | 66% | 2011-06-26 | Lost |
| 980 | 1072 | 37% | 2011-06-26 | Won |
| 999 | 1105 | 35% | 2011-06-25 | Won |
| 1228 | 1132 | 63% | 2011-05-12 | Won |
| 1103 | 905 | 76% | 2010-01-16 | Won |
| 1236 | 1068 | 72% | 2009-11-28 | Won |
| 897 | 986 | 37% | 2009-11-05 | Lost |
| 1283 | 1111 | 73% | 2009-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1071.1 vs 1076.1 has a 49.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).