Tisza Tease
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 51 (17 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 28
Defender wins (Russian): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 973 | 950 | 53% | 2025-07-04 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1055 | 66% | 2023-04-01 | Won |
| 1055 | 949 | 65% | 2023-03-31 | Won |
| 1174 | 1176 | 50% | 2022-11-12 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1174 | 28% | 2022-03-20 | Lost |
| 945 | 959 | 48% | 2022-03-19 | Lost |
| 900 | 1256 | 11% | 2022-03-19 | Won |
| 1204 | 989 | 78% | 2018-11-10 | Won |
| 1015 | 1192 | 27% | 2012-05-16 | Won |
| 1236 | 1046 | 75% | 2011-06-28 | Won |
| 1068 | 1127 | 42% | 2011-06-11 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1130 | 45% | 2011-06-01 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1189 | 43% | 2011-02-25 | Won |
| 1103 | 1219 | 34% | 2010-10-07 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1117 | 46% | 2010-06-30 | Lost |
| 1236 | 1068 | 72% | 2009-11-28 | Won |
| 1055 | 949 | 65% | 2003-03-31 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1086.2 vs 1090.9 has a 49.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).