Der Letzte Geburtstag
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 55 (12 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 33
Defender wins (German): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 973 | 1017 | 44% | 2025-06-26 | Lost |
| 1080 | 910 | 73% | 2023-04-24 | Lost |
| 1170 | 977 | 75% | 2019-12-28 | Won |
| 960 | 1266 | 15% | 2016-12-30 | Lost |
| 876 | 1087 | 23% | 2010-10-06 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2010-05-16 | Won |
| 1149 | 1310 | 28% | 2010-05-02 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1128 | 50% | 2009-12-30 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1242 | 22% | 2009-10-29 | Lost |
| 1242 | 1018 | 78% | 2009-10-29 | Won |
| 1018 | 973 | 56% | 2009-10-23 | Won |
| 1094 | 1125 | 46% | 2009-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1059 vs 1090.2 has a 45.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).