Der Letzte Geburtstag
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 58 (15 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 20
Defender wins (German): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1056 | 952 | 65% | 2025-06-26 | Lost |
| 974 | 1009 | 45% | 2023-04-24 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1133 | 56% | 2019-12-28 | Won |
| 958 | 1220 | 18% | 2016-12-30 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1182 | 44% | 2010-10-07 | Lost |
| 941 | 1102 | 28% | 2010-10-06 | Lost |
| 1149 | 947 | 76% | 2010-08-18 | Lost |
| 947 | 1149 | 24% | 2010-08-18 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1035 | 46% | 2010-05-16 | Won |
| 1150 | 1234 | 38% | 2010-05-02 | Lost |
| 967 | 967 | 50% | 2009-12-30 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1253 | 21% | 2009-10-29 | Lost |
| 1253 | 1019 | 79% | 2009-10-29 | Won |
| 1019 | 973 | 57% | 2009-10-23 | Won |
| 1099 | 1040 | 58% | 2009-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1056.9 vs 1081 has a 46.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).