Few and Far Between
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (19 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (Dutch): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1032 | 1000 | 55% | 2025-12-22 | | Won |
| 1290 | 1000 | 84% | 2025-05-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 939 | 59% | 2025-04-07 | | Won |
| 1143 | 1000 | 69% | 2021-09-20 | | Won |
| 890 | 1092 | 24% | 2021-01-02 | | Lost |
| 932 | 1000 | 40% | 2020-11-27 | | Won |
| 1028 | 967 | 59% | 2020-10-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 989 | 52% | 2020-08-31 | | Lost |
| 1102 | 1000 | 64% | 2020-04-24 | | Lost |
| 1138 | 1009 | 68% | 2019-02-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1009 | 49% | 2019-02-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1017 | 48% | 2017-12-28 | | Lost |
| 1173 | 1000 | 73% | 2017-06-22 | | Won |
| 846 | 981 | 31% | 2015-11-14 | | Lost |
| 846 | 981 | 31% | 2015-11-14 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1173 | 27% | 2015-06-22 | | Lost |
| 1431 | 1000 | 92% | 2013-08-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1431 | 8% | 2013-08-17 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 767 | 90% | 2009-08-26 | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1052.2 vs 1018.7 has a 54.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).