Absolut Märkäjärvi
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (9 on the archive and 5 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 7
Defender wins (Swedish): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1128 | 1084 | 56% | 2022-10-04 | Won |
| 928 | 1015 | 38% | 2022-08-30 | Lost |
| 972 | 1218 | 20% | 2021-04-14 | Won |
| 1020 | 1055 | 45% | 2021-03-10 | Won |
| 1047 | 1000 | 57% | 2021-02-02 | Lost |
| 906 | 1031 | 33% | 2018-12-26 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1179 | 32% | 2012-09-03 | Won |
| 1060 | 1152 | 37% | 2011-06-03 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1052 | 47% | 2009-12-06 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1015.9 vs 1087.3 has a 39.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).