Absolut Märkäjärvi
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (9 on the archive and 5 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 7
Defender wins (Swedish): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1055 | 42% | 2022-10-04 | | Won |
| 967 | 1015 | 43% | 2022-08-30 | | Lost |
| 998 | 1198 | 24% | 2021-04-14 | | Won |
| 1031 | 1056 | 46% | 2021-03-10 | | Won |
| 994 | 1050 | 42% | 2021-02-02 | | Lost |
| 896 | 1023 | 32% | 2018-12-26 | | Lost |
| 1051 | 1226 | 27% | 2012-09-03 | | Won |
| 1031 | 1226 | 25% | 2011-06-03 | | Lost |
| 1023 | 1000 | 53% | 2009-12-06 | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 999 vs 1094.3 has a 36.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).