Absolut Märkäjärvi
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (9 on the archive and 5 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 7
Defender wins (Swedish): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1128 | 974 | 71% | 2022-10-04 | Won |
| 890 | 1015 | 33% | 2022-08-30 | Lost |
| 985 | 1218 | 21% | 2021-04-14 | Won |
| 1029 | 1056 | 46% | 2021-03-10 | Won |
| 1160 | 919 | 80% | 2021-02-02 | Lost |
| 920 | 967 | 43% | 2018-12-26 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1208 | 29% | 2012-09-03 | Won |
| 1062 | 1172 | 35% | 2011-06-03 | Lost |
| 967 | 1099 | 32% | 2009-12-06 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1021.3 vs 1069.8 has a 43.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).