Absolut Märkäjärvi
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (9 on the archive and 5 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 8
Defender wins (Swedish): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1020 | 1051 | 46% | 2022-10-04 | Won |
| 918 | 1011 | 37% | 2022-08-30 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1180 | 29% | 2021-04-14 | Won |
| 1082 | 1057 | 54% | 2021-03-10 | Won |
| 982 | 1084 | 36% | 2021-02-02 | Lost |
| 919 | 1123 | 24% | 2018-12-26 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1152 | 36% | 2012-09-03 | Won |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2011-06-03 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1098 | 54% | 2009-12-06 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1012.9 vs 1099.7 has a 37.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).