The Aubagne Bottleneck Must Pop
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5 (3 on the archive and 2 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Free French): 3
Defender wins (German): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 978 | 1046 | 40% | 2022-10-17 | Won |
| 978 | 852 | 67% | 2022-10-17 | Won |
| 1032 | 977 | 58% | 2019-05-30 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 996 vs 958.3 has a 55.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).