The Aubagne Bottleneck Must Pop
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5 (3 on the archive and 2 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Free French): 3
Defender wins (German): 2
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 995 | 1003 | 49% | 2022-10-17 | Won |
| 995 | 850 | 70% | 2022-10-17 | Won |
| 1020 | 994 | 54% | 2019-05-30 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1003.3 vs 949 has a 57.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).