Prelim to Death Night
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 6
Defender wins (American): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1032 | 962 | 60% | 2024-09-06 | Won |
919 | 945 | 46% | 2021-10-11 | Lost |
1307 | 1058 | 81% | 2021-10-02 | Won |
1032 | 1144 | 34% | 2021-08-01 | Lost |
1284 | 1016 | 82% | 2020-03-29 | Won |
1128 | 1046 | 62% | 2020-03-07 | Won |
979 | 1028 | 43% | 2020-01-29 | Lost |
1077 | 1188 | 35% | 2019-11-13 | Won |
1188 | 1077 | 65% | 2019-11-12 | Lost |
970 | 963 | 51% | 2013-07-10 | Lost |
1097 | 869 | 79% | 2012-11-04 | Won |
1138 | 1092 | 57% | 2011-10-06 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1095.9 vs 1032.3 has a 59.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).