Speed Over Caution
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 122 (25 on the archive and 97 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 52
Defender wins (German): 70
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1163 | 1014 | 70% | 2026-08-01 | | Won |
| 981 | 1000 | 47% | 2024-12-16 | | Lost |
| 829 | 1150 | 14% | 2021-02-20 | | Lost |
| 904 | 995 | 37% | 2021-02-12 | | Lost |
| 1012 | 1030 | 47% | 2021-02-03 | | Lost |
| 945 | 1141 | 24% | 2020-12-13 | | Lost |
| 1059 | 1000 | 58% | 2020-08-16 | | Lost |
| 1059 | 1142 | 38% | 2020-08-14 | | Lost |
| 1132 | 1000 | 68% | 2020-02-29 | | Lost |
| 1059 | 1000 | 58% | 2019-05-25 | | Lost |
| 1012 | 1000 | 52% | 2019-03-30 | | Lost |
| 870 | 1218 | 12% | 2017-07-17 | | Lost |
| 1060 | 1143 | 38% | 2016-07-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2015-03-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2015-02-26 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2015-02-22 | | Lost |
| 1040 | 1000 | 56% | 2015-02-21 | | Lost |
| 1011 | 1000 | 52% | 2014-12-27 | | Won |
| 1126 | 1000 | 67% | 2012-04-05 | | Lost |
| 918 | 1101 | 26% | 2011-04-01 | | Won |
| 1183 | 1015 | 72% | 2011-03-10 | | Won |
| 1028 | 1101 | 40% | 2011-02-19 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 780 | 89% | 2010-12-27 | | Won |
| 1230 | 1000 | 79% | 2010-03-26 | | Won |
| 1040 | 1153 | 34% | 2010-03-10 | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1034.6 vs 1047 has a 48.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).