Unplanned Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (American): 5
Defender wins (German): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1190 | 1080 | 65% | 2025-01-27 | Won |
| 1141 | 964 | 73% | 2020-12-29 | Won |
| 1014 | 998 | 52% | 2017-12-30 | Won |
| 1174 | 1234 | 41% | 2014-01-09 | Lost |
| 1268 | 1234 | 55% | 2013-08-30 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1101 | 45% | 2012-10-05 | Won |
| 870 | 1101 | 21% | 2012-09-23 | Won |
| 865 | 1015 | 30% | 2010-08-27 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1102 | 49% | 2010-02-18 | Lost |
| 1005 | 870 | 69% | 2009-06-23 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1068.7 vs 1069.9 has a 49.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).