Unplanned Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (10 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 24
Defender wins (German): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2025-01-27 | | Won |
| 1141 | 944 | 76% | 2020-12-29 | | Won |
| 997 | 1000 | 50% | 2017-12-30 | | Won |
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2014-01-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2013-08-30 | | Lost |
| 1066 | 1101 | 45% | 2012-10-05 | | Won |
| 870 | 1101 | 21% | 2012-09-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1015 | 48% | 2010-08-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1103 | 36% | 2010-02-18 | | Lost |
| 1008 | 1000 | 51% | 2009-06-23 | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1025.3 vs 1078.2 has a 42.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).