Norman "D"
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 77 (21 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 34
Defender wins (German (SS)): 43
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1172 | 958 | 77% | 2026-01-31 | Won |
| 1062 | 1220 | 29% | 2026-01-30 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1015 | 59% | 2026-01-30 | Won |
| 1154 | 1170 | 48% | 2025-07-27 | Lost |
| 1161 | 1146 | 52% | 2025-02-11 | Lost |
| 1190 | 1080 | 65% | 2025-01-26 | Lost |
| 844 | 966 | 33% | 2024-11-11 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1042 | 50% | 2019-09-01 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1077 | 41% | 2018-11-19 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1131 | 33% | 2018-05-08 | Lost |
| 970 | 1063 | 37% | 2016-10-26 | Lost |
| 1056 | 988 | 60% | 2016-06-01 | Won |
| 1215 | 1234 | 47% | 2013-08-30 | Won |
| 1033 | 1126 | 37% | 2013-07-10 | Lost |
| 982 | 1138 | 29% | 2013-04-14 | Lost |
| 1048 | 884 | 72% | 2013-04-14 | Won |
| 1121 | 1121 | 50% | 2013-04-04 | Won |
| 1101 | 870 | 79% | 2012-09-02 | Lost |
| 1071 | 967 | 65% | 2012-08-24 | Won |
| 1015 | 1081 | 41% | 2010-03-28 | Won |
| 753 | 1141 | 10% | 2009-06-17 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1051.9 vs 1067.5 has a 47.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).