Disaster on the Dnieper Loop
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 940 | 1123 | 26% | 2025-07-29 | Won |
| 1014 | 1017 | 50% | 2021-09-13 | Won |
| 1163 | 1174 | 48% | 2017-11-30 | Won |
| 1026 | 928 | 64% | 2013-05-05 | Won |
| 1037 | 1181 | 30% | 2009-04-03 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1036 vs 1084.6 has a 43.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).