Disaster on the Dnieper Loop
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 893 | 1191 | 15% | 2025-07-29 | Won |
| 1014 | 1028 | 48% | 2021-09-13 | Won |
| 1121 | 1127 | 49% | 2017-11-30 | Won |
| 1027 | 972 | 58% | 2013-05-05 | Won |
| 985 | 1177 | 25% | 2009-04-03 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1008 vs 1099 has a 37.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).