Disaster on the Dnieper Loop
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18 (5 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 14
Defender wins (German): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 992 | 1134 | 31% | 2025-07-29 | | Won |
| 974 | 1059 | 38% | 2021-09-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1167 | 28% | 2017-11-30 | | Won |
| 1028 | 1117 | 37% | 2013-05-05 | | Won |
| 1022 | 1175 | 29% | 2009-04-03 | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1003.2 vs 1130.4 has a 32.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).