Breakout from Borisov
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (German): 5
Defender wins (Russian): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1193 | 1072 | 67% | 2025-12-10 | Won |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2019-03-16 | Won |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2018-12-29 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-05-31 | Won |
| 1169 | 1226 | 42% | 2014-05-24 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1041 | 52% | 2014-01-10 | Won |
| 1109 | 1117 | 49% | 2010-01-02 | Won |
| 952 | 1125 | 27% | 2008-10-26 | Tied |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1120.5 vs 1133.6 has a 48.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).