Rehearsal for Crete
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (9 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 25
Defender wins (Greek / New Zealand / Australian): 4
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Greek / New Zealand / Australian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1019 | 47% | 2026-09-11 | D | Won |
| 1120 | 1000 | 67% | 2026-06-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 950 | 57% | 2024-08-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1156 | 29% | 2020-04-12 | | Won |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2018-10-28 | | Won |
| 962 | 966 | 49% | 2016-02-27 | | Won |
| 1035 | 1000 | 55% | 2014-11-10 | | Won |
| 1127 | 1000 | 68% | 2010-10-01 | | Won |
| 1129 | 1037 | 63% | 2010-05-15 | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1051.2 vs 1014.2 has a 55.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).