Road to Kozani Pass
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (British/New Zealand): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1127 | 1025 | 64% | 2022-11-26 | Won |
| 1163 | 1219 | 42% | 2021-10-30 | Lost |
| 1200 | 1219 | 47% | 2021-10-29 | Lost |
| 1219 | 993 | 79% | 2021-02-03 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1191 | 36% | 2019-11-24 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1226 | 26% | 2019-08-02 | Lost |
| 891 | 946 | 42% | 2018-12-24 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2018-10-07 | Won |
| 1200 | 980 | 78% | 2017-06-22 | Won |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2014-04-21 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1117 | 52% | 2014-02-22 | Won |
| 957 | 950 | 51% | 2012-09-30 | Won |
| 1010 | 1050 | 44% | 2012-08-24 | Won |
| 977 | 1060 | 38% | 2012-07-21 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1105 | 53% | 2010-10-09 | Tied |
| 980 | 1119 | 31% | 2010-02-16 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1086.4 vs 1094.6 has a 48.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).