Road to Kozani Pass
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (British/New Zealand): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1154 | 972 | 74% | 2022-11-26 | Won |
| 1191 | 1217 | 46% | 2021-10-30 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1217 | 46% | 2021-10-29 | Lost |
| 1217 | 993 | 78% | 2021-02-03 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1148 | 42% | 2019-11-24 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1226 | 22% | 2019-08-02 | Lost |
| 997 | 948 | 57% | 2018-12-24 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2018-10-07 | Won |
| 1189 | 980 | 77% | 2017-06-22 | Won |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2014-04-21 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1117 | 52% | 2014-02-22 | Won |
| 958 | 930 | 54% | 2012-09-30 | Won |
| 1010 | 1068 | 42% | 2012-08-24 | Won |
| 978 | 1078 | 36% | 2012-07-21 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1105 | 60% | 2010-10-09 | Tied |
| 980 | 1073 | 37% | 2010-02-16 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1095.5 vs 1086.6 has a 51.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).