Road to Kozani Pass
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (British/New Zealand): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1123 | 975 | 70% | 2022-11-26 | Won |
| 1127 | 1217 | 37% | 2021-10-30 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1217 | 34% | 2021-10-29 | Lost |
| 1217 | 993 | 78% | 2021-02-03 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1099 | 51% | 2019-11-24 | Lost |
| 976 | 1226 | 19% | 2019-08-02 | Lost |
| 981 | 948 | 55% | 2018-12-24 | Lost |
| 1263 | 953 | 86% | 2018-12-15 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2018-10-07 | Won |
| 1102 | 961 | 69% | 2017-06-22 | Won |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2014-04-21 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1127 | 51% | 2014-02-22 | Won |
| 960 | 965 | 49% | 2012-09-30 | Won |
| 1010 | 1074 | 41% | 2012-08-24 | Won |
| 982 | 1146 | 28% | 2012-07-21 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1056 | 56% | 2010-10-09 | Tied |
| 961 | 1070 | 35% | 2010-02-16 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1082.5 vs 1078.9 has a 50.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).