Road to Kozani Pass
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (British/New Zealand): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1158 | 1050 | 65% | 2022-11-26 | Won |
| 1159 | 1218 | 42% | 2021-10-30 | Lost |
| 1155 | 1218 | 41% | 2021-10-29 | Lost |
| 1218 | 982 | 80% | 2021-02-03 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1145 | 42% | 2019-11-24 | Lost |
| 906 | 1223 | 14% | 2019-08-02 | Lost |
| 994 | 954 | 56% | 2018-12-24 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2018-10-07 | Won |
| 1155 | 973 | 74% | 2017-06-22 | Won |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2014-04-21 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1099 | 55% | 2014-02-22 | Won |
| 963 | 908 | 58% | 2012-09-30 | Won |
| 976 | 1022 | 43% | 2012-07-21 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1035 | 63% | 2010-10-09 | Tied |
| 973 | 1086 | 34% | 2010-02-16 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1084.5 vs 1081.6 has a 50.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).