Fighting at World's Edge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (14 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Norwegian / French ): 20
Defender wins (German): 21
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1155 | 1031 | 67% | 2024-06-29 | Won |
1008 | 1025 | 48% | 2023-04-14 | Won |
1103 | 1069 | 55% | 2021-01-05 | Won |
982 | 977 | 51% | 2020-06-07 | Won |
1065 | 1039 | 54% | 2020-05-18 | Lost |
1046 | 1044 | 50% | 2019-04-15 | Lost |
956 | 1014 | 42% | 2018-12-06 | Lost |
1158 | 971 | 75% | 2018-07-05 | Won |
1026 | 1038 | 48% | 2015-07-18 | Lost |
1048 | 1091 | 44% | 2014-01-01 | Lost |
987 | 1133 | 30% | 2011-02-20 | Won |
1141 | 1014 | 68% | 2009-12-03 | Won |
973 | 1008 | 45% | 2009-12-02 | Won |
982 | 984 | 50% | 2009-11-11 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1045 vs 1031.3 has a 51.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).