Fighting at World's Edge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (16 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Norwegian / French ): 21
Defender wins (German): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1089 | 1073 | 52% | 2026-03-30 | Lost |
| 1149 | 997 | 71% | 2024-06-29 | Won |
| 944 | 1099 | 29% | 2023-04-14 | Won |
| 1092 | 1029 | 59% | 2021-01-05 | Won |
| 1128 | 982 | 70% | 2020-06-07 | Won |
| 1007 | 1039 | 45% | 2020-05-18 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1049 | 49% | 2019-04-15 | Lost |
| 948 | 906 | 56% | 2018-12-06 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1047 | 65% | 2018-07-05 | Won |
| 1263 | 1169 | 63% | 2017-02-09 | Won |
| 1028 | 1038 | 49% | 2015-07-18 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1091 | 46% | 2014-01-01 | Lost |
| 985 | 1131 | 30% | 2011-02-20 | Won |
| 1060 | 1074 | 48% | 2010-10-09 | Won |
| 961 | 1022 | 41% | 2009-12-02 | Won |
| 1128 | 972 | 71% | 2009-11-11 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1065.6 vs 1044.9 has a 52.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).