Under Cover of Darkness
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17 (4 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 11
Defender wins (German): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1134 | 992 | 69% | 2025-04-09 | | Won |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2018-10-01 | | Won |
| 1116 | 961 | 71% | 2009-07-29 | | Lost |
| 1129 | 1039 | 63% | 2009-06-14 | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1081.8 vs 998 has a 61.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).