Battle for the Warta Line
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 84 (31 on the archive and 53 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 40
Defender wins (Polish): 42
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 1
Defender wins (Polish): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1081 | 1081 | 50% | 2025-10-24 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1080 | 42% | 2024-06-23 | Lost |
| 1018 | 843 | 73% | 2024-06-19 | Won |
| 1154 | 1092 | 59% | 2024-06-08 | Lost |
| 999 | 1012 | 48% | 2024-06-01 | Won |
| 952 | 1045 | 37% | 2023-08-19 | Lost |
| 954 | 988 | 45% | 2023-02-02 | Lost |
| 948 | 1099 | 30% | 2022-12-22 | Won |
| 988 | 954 | 55% | 2022-03-31 | Lost |
| 1187 | 1189 | 50% | 2022-03-23 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1122 | 51% | 2021-04-27 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1002 | 59% | 2020-10-10 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1002 | 59% | 2020-10-10 | Lost |
| 989 | 984 | 51% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
| 939 | 952 | 48% | 2018-06-16 | Won |
| 1218 | 1187 | 54% | 2017-12-12 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1189 | 54% | 2017-12-12 | Lost |
| 998 | 1063 | 41% | 2017-10-09 | Won |
| 998 | 1063 | 41% | 2017-10-09 | Won |
| 876 | 1071 | 25% | 2015-04-25 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1144 | 45% | 2014-12-07 | Won |
| 1056 | 1060 | 49% | 2013-10-14 | Won |
| 1064 | 1056 | 51% | 2013-09-28 | Lost |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2013-09-28 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1118 | 52% | 2011-05-14 | Won |
| 1080 | 1190 | 35% | 2011-02-06 | Won |
| 1135 | 1003 | 68% | 2009-12-05 | Won |
| 1037 | 952 | 62% | 2009-08-01 | Lost |
| 961 | 1040 | 39% | 2009-07-18 | Won |
| 939 | 952 | 48% | 2009-03-15 | Won |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1042.6 vs 1053.5 has a 48.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).