Sacrifice of Polish Armor
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (12 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (Polish): 25
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1140 | 1121 | 53% | 2021-04-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 949 | 57% | 2019-11-09 | | Won |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2016-01-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2012-10-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1147 | 30% | 2011-10-08 | | Won |
| 1196 | 1000 | 76% | 2011-06-04 | | Lost |
| 983 | 1056 | 40% | 2011-05-19 | | Won |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2010-12-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1233 | 21% | 2009-11-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1015 | 48% | 2009-11-25 | | Won |
| 1006 | 1100 | 37% | 2009-07-14 | | Lost |
| 961 | 1090 | 32% | 2009-07-01 | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1037.8 vs 1078.1 has a 44.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).