Insult to Injury
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 83 (22 on the archive and 61 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 38
Defender wins (Russian): 45
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1022 | 921 | 64% | 2026-02-26 | | Won |
| 803 | 1150 | 12% | 2024-06-01 | | Lost |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2022-11-13 | | Lost |
| 1159 | 1000 | 71% | 2021-10-29 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2017-07-09 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 970 | 73% | 2016-11-07 | | Won |
| 1227 | 1000 | 79% | 2016-09-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1133 | 32% | 2016-03-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2016-01-10 | | Lost |
| 1159 | 1000 | 71% | 2015-12-19 | | Lost |
| 1131 | 1000 | 68% | 2014-02-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1035 | 45% | 2013-04-16 | | Lost |
| 1155 | 1071 | 62% | 2012-10-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 920 | 61% | 2011-05-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1059 | 42% | 2011-04-19 | | Won |
| 1035 | 841 | 75% | 2011-02-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2011-02-26 | | Won |
| 1101 | 918 | 74% | 2011-01-22 | | Won |
| 1136 | 1000 | 69% | 2010-11-01 | | Lost |
| 1171 | 1136 | 55% | 2010-08-01 | | Won |
| 1153 | 1022 | 68% | 2009-02-15 | | Won |
| 1183 | 1136 | 57% | 2009-02-08 | | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1074.9 vs 1044.7 has a 54.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).