Insult to Injury
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 14
Defender wins (Russian): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1062 | 884 | 74% | 2026-02-26 | Won |
| 824 | 1189 | 11% | 2024-06-01 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1043 | 50% | 2022-11-13 | Lost |
| 1158 | 984 | 73% | 2021-10-29 | Won |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2017-07-09 | Lost |
| 1123 | 970 | 71% | 2016-11-07 | Won |
| 1216 | 1099 | 66% | 2016-09-02 | Won |
| 982 | 1135 | 29% | 2016-03-12 | Won |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2016-01-10 | Lost |
| 1158 | 984 | 73% | 2015-12-19 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1069 | 62% | 2014-02-01 | Won |
| 1099 | 1034 | 59% | 2013-04-16 | Lost |
| 1155 | 1071 | 62% | 2012-10-27 | Won |
| 1047 | 920 | 68% | 2011-05-11 | Won |
| 1121 | 1003 | 66% | 2011-04-19 | Won |
| 993 | 843 | 70% | 2011-02-28 | Won |
| 1052 | 1234 | 26% | 2011-02-26 | Won |
| 1101 | 918 | 74% | 2011-01-22 | Won |
| 1121 | 1090 | 54% | 2010-11-01 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1121 | 53% | 2010-08-01 | Won |
| 1172 | 1062 | 65% | 2009-02-15 | Won |
| 1085 | 1137 | 43% | 2009-02-08 | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1097.9 vs 1056.5 has a 55.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).