Frontiers and Pioneers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (Russian): 17
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1014 | 1000 | 52% | 2025-07-18 | Won |
| 931 | 1325 | 9% | 2023-07-28 | Lost |
| 996 | 931 | 59% | 2023-07-17 | Lost |
| 963 | 985 | 47% | 2021-11-13 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-09-08 | Won |
| 914 | 1000 | 38% | 2021-06-06 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1099 | 36% | 2020-11-14 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1000 | 65% | 2020-04-23 | Won |
| 938 | 1064 | 33% | 2019-04-13 | Won |
| 979 | 965 | 52% | 2017-11-19 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2017-02-18 | Won |
| 1008 | 981 | 54% | 2016-10-30 | Won |
| 1069 | 1053 | 52% | 2016-10-30 | Lost |
| 942 | 1044 | 36% | 2016-02-03 | Lost |
| 1047 | 956 | 63% | 2015-11-10 | Lost |
| 894 | 935 | 44% | 2015-11-09 | Lost |
| 948 | 1014 | 41% | 2015-03-15 | Won |
| 1100 | 977 | 67% | 2014-11-01 | Won |
| 933 | 901 | 55% | 2014-10-07 | Lost |
| 903 | 910 | 49% | 2011-11-26 | Won |
| 1049 | 964 | 62% | 2011-03-22 | Won |
| 1139 | 1167 | 46% | 2010-12-06 | Won |
| 1007 | 996 | 52% | 2010-09-20 | Lost |
| 918 | 1038 | 33% | 2010-02-27 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1060 | 59% | 2010-02-15 | Won |
| 1148 | 1167 | 47% | 2009-12-04 | Won |
| 1079 | 1121 | 44% | 2009-11-12 | Lost |
| 1197 | 898 | 85% | 2009-10-24 | Won |
| 978 | 983 | 49% | 2009-10-24 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1130 | 44% | 2009-09-20 | Lost |
| 851 | 1197 | 12% | 2009-08-09 | Won |
| 1061 | 1068 | 49% | 2009-08-07 | Won |
| 918 | 1019 | 36% | 2009-08-01 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1172 | 39% | 2009-07-11 | Won |
| 1098 | 975 | 67% | 2009-05-27 | Won |
| 1038 | 1060 | 47% | 2009-02-15 | Lost |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1013.2 vs 1032.1 has a 47.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).