Frontiers and Pioneers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (Russian): 16
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1141 | 1276 | 31% | 2023-07-28 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1141 | 50% | 2023-07-17 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1169 | 46% | 2021-11-13 | Lost |
| 936 | 908 | 54% | 2021-09-08 | Won |
| 994 | 1028 | 45% | 2021-06-06 | Lost |
| 979 | 1069 | 37% | 2020-11-14 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1074 | 70% | 2020-04-23 | Won |
| 1214 | 1053 | 72% | 2019-04-13 | Won |
| 982 | 977 | 51% | 2017-11-19 | Lost |
| 1140 | 857 | 84% | 2017-02-18 | Won |
| 1099 | 984 | 66% | 2016-10-30 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-10-30 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1152 | 38% | 2016-02-03 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1014 | 72% | 2015-11-10 | Lost |
| 944 | 1002 | 42% | 2015-11-09 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1043 | 64% | 2015-03-15 | Won |
| 1116 | 1016 | 64% | 2014-11-01 | Won |
| 1055 | 1008 | 57% | 2014-10-07 | Lost |
| 1105 | 982 | 67% | 2011-03-22 | Won |
| 1031 | 1075 | 44% | 2010-12-06 | Won |
| 1141 | 1081 | 59% | 2010-09-20 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1141 | 33% | 2010-02-15 | Won |
| 1038 | 1119 | 39% | 2009-11-12 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1029 | 47% | 2009-10-24 | Lost |
| 1074 | 901 | 73% | 2009-10-24 | Won |
| 1133 | 1228 | 37% | 2009-09-20 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1074 | 50% | 2009-08-09 | Won |
| 1011 | 867 | 70% | 2009-08-07 | Won |
| 1015 | 1025 | 49% | 2009-08-01 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1098 | 55% | 2009-07-11 | Won |
| 1096 | 1050 | 57% | 2009-05-27 | Won |
| 978 | 1141 | 28% | 2009-02-15 | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1076.3 vs 1052.2 has a 53.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).