After the Disaster
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23 (7 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (Russian ): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1242 | 1317 | 39% | 2025-12-12 | | Lost |
| 1182 | 1087 | 63% | 2022-03-26 | | Lost |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2019-11-23 | | Won |
| 1110 | 997 | 66% | 2017-06-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1024 | 47% | 2015-10-09 | | Won |
| 1055 | 1007 | 57% | 2015-05-30 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1180 | 44% | 2009-12-05 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1109.6 vs 1087.4 has a 53.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).