Purple Heart Draw
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (American): 6
Defender wins (German): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1125 | 1098 | 54% | 2021-02-22 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1034 | 50% | 2019-06-10 | Won |
| 1056 | 981 | 61% | 2019-02-12 | Won |
| 1214 | 931 | 84% | 2018-03-25 | Lost |
| 933 | 1242 | 14% | 2017-09-03 | Lost |
| 1242 | 971 | 83% | 2017-08-16 | Lost |
| 1054 | 944 | 65% | 2015-04-17 | Won |
| 1054 | 944 | 65% | 2015-01-16 | Won |
| 979 | 996 | 48% | 2013-12-01 | Won |
| 976 | 1056 | 39% | 2013-02-05 | Lost |
| 1227 | 1018 | 77% | 2011-07-18 | Won |
| 1125 | 1011 | 66% | 2011-03-24 | Lost |
| 1167 | 1008 | 71% | 2010-03-18 | Lost |
| 1034 | 971 | 59% | 2009-04-17 | Tied |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1087.1 vs 1014.6 has a 60.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).