Purple Heart Draw
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (American): 6
Defender wins (German): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1196 | 1049 | 70% | 2021-02-22 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1034 | 50% | 2019-06-10 | Won |
| 1058 | 982 | 61% | 2019-02-12 | Won |
| 1218 | 947 | 83% | 2018-03-25 | Lost |
| 898 | 1242 | 12% | 2017-09-03 | Lost |
| 1242 | 923 | 86% | 2017-08-16 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1021 | 55% | 2015-04-17 | Won |
| 1054 | 1021 | 55% | 2015-01-16 | Won |
| 982 | 876 | 65% | 2013-12-28 | Lost |
| 970 | 996 | 46% | 2013-12-01 | Won |
| 977 | 1058 | 39% | 2013-02-05 | Lost |
| 1243 | 1018 | 79% | 2011-07-18 | Won |
| 1196 | 1010 | 74% | 2011-03-24 | Lost |
| 1167 | 1086 | 61% | 2010-03-18 | Lost |
| 1034 | 923 | 65% | 2009-04-17 | Tied |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1088.2 vs 1012.4 has a 60.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).