Under the Northern Light
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (6 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 14
Defender wins (German (SS)): 25
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 928 | 1080 | 29% | 2023-05-19 | Lost |
| 893 | 906 | 48% | 2023-05-19 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1093 | 38% | 2022-11-19 | Won |
| 1128 | 1038 | 63% | 2020-07-30 | Won |
| 952 | 952 | 50% | 2010-08-28 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1170 | 28% | 2008-10-23 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 985.5 vs 1039.8 has a 42.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).