Federov's Incursion
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (3 on the archive and 25 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 10
Defender wins (Russian): 18
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 987 | 917 | 60% | 2010-12-18 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1020 | 65% | 2009-01-26 | Lost |
| 1237 | 979 | 82% | 2008-12-27 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1116.7 vs 972 has a 69.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).