The Lisjanka Epitaph
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 58 (11 on the archive and 47 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 28
Defender wins (German): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1030 | 1202 | 27% | 2026-05-08 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1211 | 38% | 2025-01-23 | Won |
| 1057 | 1118 | 41% | 2022-10-02 | Lost |
| 743 | 1216 | 6% | 2020-06-15 | Lost |
| 907 | 969 | 41% | 2014-10-25 | Won |
| 1021 | 1110 | 37% | 2013-05-19 | Won |
| 939 | 1226 | 16% | 2011-03-20 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1127 | 44% | 2009-10-10 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1342 | 20% | 2009-01-03 | Won |
| 1070 | 1219 | 30% | 2008-12-27 | Won |
| 1107 | 1201 | 37% | 2008-12-13 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1016.5 vs 1176.5 has a 28.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).