The Lisjanka Epitaph
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (German): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1084 | 1143 | 42% | 2026-05-08 | | Lost |
| 1127 | 1219 | 37% | 2025-01-23 | | Won |
| 1149 | 1118 | 54% | 2022-10-02 | | Lost |
| 728 | 1292 | 4% | 2020-06-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1002 | 50% | 2014-10-25 | | Won |
| 1007 | 1000 | 51% | 2013-05-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1205 | 24% | 2011-03-20 | | Lost |
| 1066 | 1196 | 32% | 2009-10-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1344 | 12% | 2009-01-03 | | Won |
| 1040 | 1159 | 34% | 2008-12-27 | | Won |
| 1183 | 1000 | 74% | 2008-12-13 | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1034.9 vs 1152.5 has a 33.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).