The Lisjanka Epitaph
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 56 (9 on the archive and 47 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 27
Defender wins (German): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1123 | 1274 | 30% | 2025-01-23 | Won |
| 1177 | 1151 | 54% | 2022-10-02 | Lost |
| 757 | 1207 | 7% | 2020-06-15 | Lost |
| 906 | 996 | 37% | 2014-10-25 | Won |
| 1095 | 1109 | 48% | 2013-05-19 | Won |
| 939 | 1176 | 20% | 2011-03-20 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1180 | 40% | 2009-10-10 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1214 | 30% | 2008-12-27 | Won |
| 1094 | 1201 | 35% | 2008-12-13 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1030 vs 1167.6 has a 31.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).