Cornwalls' Rum Ration
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 96 (20 on the archive and 76 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 52
Defender wins (British): 44
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1078 | 933 | 70% | 2025-11-06 | Won |
| 1041 | 1103 | 41% | 2025-05-29 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1222 | 37% | 2025-03-09 | Won |
| 1081 | 923 | 71% | 2025-02-21 | Lost |
| 950 | 964 | 48% | 2024-11-15 | Won |
| 1076 | 982 | 63% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 1170 | 982 | 75% | 2021-11-18 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1072 | 54% | 2021-11-18 | Lost |
| 979 | 1131 | 29% | 2021-01-27 | Lost |
| 900 | 1174 | 17% | 2018-02-26 | Lost |
| 1256 | 945 | 86% | 2017-05-20 | Won |
| 1109 | 1157 | 43% | 2013-09-03 | Won |
| 1076 | 1078 | 50% | 2010-10-31 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1101 | 61% | 2010-04-10 | Won |
| 1173 | 1234 | 41% | 2010-01-24 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1024 | 50% | 2009-09-11 | Won |
| 726 | 1140 | 8% | 2009-05-05 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1028 | 48% | 2009-03-29 | Won |
| 1068 | 1243 | 27% | 2009-01-15 | Won |
| 1032 | 1018 | 52% | | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1058.1 vs 1072.7 has a 47.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).