Cornwalls' Rum Ration
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 96 (20 on the archive and 76 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 52
Defender wins (British): 44
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1038 | 992 | 57% | 2025-11-06 | Won |
| 1085 | 1091 | 49% | 2025-05-29 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1222 | 35% | 2025-03-09 | Won |
| 1067 | 923 | 70% | 2025-02-21 | Lost |
| 982 | 964 | 53% | 2024-11-15 | Won |
| 1095 | 1000 | 63% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 1162 | 1000 | 72% | 2021-11-18 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1072 | 54% | 2021-11-18 | Lost |
| 986 | 1113 | 32% | 2021-01-27 | Lost |
| 895 | 1143 | 19% | 2018-02-26 | Lost |
| 1279 | 992 | 84% | 2017-05-20 | Won |
| 1090 | 1143 | 42% | 2013-09-03 | Won |
| 1095 | 1078 | 52% | 2010-10-31 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1100 | 55% | 2010-04-10 | Won |
| 1174 | 1233 | 42% | 2010-01-24 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1071 | 44% | 2009-09-11 | Won |
| 731 | 1138 | 9% | 2009-05-05 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1029 | 48% | 2009-03-29 | Won |
| 1053 | 1178 | 33% | 2009-01-15 | Won |
| 1083 | 1020 | 59% | | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1060.3 vs 1075.1 has a 47.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).