Stubborn Ferdinand
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (8 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 29
Defender wins (German): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1042 | 861 | 74% | 2025-11-21 | Won |
| 1176 | 924 | 81% | 2022-11-12 | Won |
| 1256 | 953 | 85% | 2022-08-23 | Lost |
| 1256 | 1013 | 80% | 2019-06-21 | Won |
| 1080 | 1303 | 22% | 2011-02-25 | Won |
| 1031 | 1093 | 41% | 2009-05-23 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1059 | 52% | 2008-10-05 | Won |
| 1251 | 913 | 87% | 2008-08-30 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1145.6 vs 1014.9 has a 67.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).