The Bulge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 9
Defender wins (American): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1158 | 1117 | 56% | 2024-02-20 | Won |
| 1009 | 993 | 52% | 2020-06-24 | Won |
| 916 | 1139 | 22% | 2020-06-03 | Lost |
| 892 | 1256 | 11% | 2018-03-03 | Lost |
| 933 | 1078 | 30% | 2017-07-01 | Won |
| 1172 | 1173 | 50% | 2016-09-10 | Won |
| 1071 | 982 | 63% | 2013-04-06 | Won |
| 865 | 1015 | 30% | 2010-08-27 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1092 | 62% | 2009-09-26 | Won |
| 1068 | 1186 | 34% | 2009-09-25 | Won |
| 1140 | 733 | 91% | 2009-05-19 | Won |
| 1058 | 613 | 93% | 2009-04-04 | Won |
| 1083 | 1041 | 56% | 2009-01-19 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1041.5 vs 1032.2 has a 51.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).