The Bulge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 70 (13 on the archive and 57 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 45
Defender wins (American): 25
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1151 | 30% | 2024-02-20 | | Won |
| 1009 | 977 | 55% | 2020-06-24 | | Won |
| 916 | 1138 | 22% | 2020-06-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1289 | 16% | 2018-03-03 | | Lost |
| 1129 | 1046 | 62% | 2017-07-01 | | Won |
| 1173 | 1000 | 73% | 2016-09-10 | | Won |
| 1071 | 983 | 62% | 2013-04-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1015 | 48% | 2010-08-27 | | Lost |
| 1230 | 1000 | 79% | 2009-09-26 | | Won |
| 1040 | 1000 | 56% | 2009-09-25 | | Won |
| 1141 | 780 | 89% | 2009-05-19 | | Won |
| 1062 | 1000 | 59% | 2009-04-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 991 | 51% | 2009-01-19 | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1059.3 vs 1028.5 has a 54.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).