The Bulge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 7
Defender wins (American): 4
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1077 | 1089 | 48% | 2024-02-20 | Won |
| 1009 | 1032 | 47% | 2020-06-24 | Won |
| 916 | 1142 | 21% | 2020-06-03 | Lost |
| 891 | 1255 | 11% | 2018-03-03 | Lost |
| 1015 | 944 | 60% | 2017-07-01 | Won |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2016-09-10 | Won |
| 1067 | 982 | 62% | 2013-04-06 | Won |
| 867 | 1011 | 30% | 2010-08-27 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1090 | 57% | 2009-09-26 | Won |
| 1008 | 613 | 91% | 2009-04-04 | Won |
| 1083 | 1031 | 57% | 2009-01-19 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1017 vs 1027.5 has a 48.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).